Donald Trump got a post-convention bounce Monday, vaulting into a lead over Hillary Clinton in a CNN/ORC survey, but a CBS poll shows a deadlocked race.
Trump took a 5 point CNN/ORC lead over Clinton, 44 percent to 39 percent, in a four-way matchup that includes Libertarian Party's Gary Johnson (9 percent) and Green Party's Jill Stein (3 percent). In a two-way race, it's a three-point lead for Trump among registered voters, 48 percent to 45 percent.
The polling was conducted after the Republican National Convention ended Thursday night, from Friday through Sunday.
Trump earned a 6 point convention bounce -- the highest in CNN's polling since 2000 when Al Gore and George W. Bush each increased their numbers by 8 percent after their conventions.
Trump's lead is the largest in a CNN/ORC poll against Clinton since September 2015.
A CBS poll, also released Monday, though, shows a deadlocked race and no post-convention bounce for Trump. In a head-to-head both candidates received 42 percent. On July 16, Trump and Clinton were both at 40 percent. In a three-way race, Trump received 40 percent, 1 point above Clinton, with 12 percent for Johnson.
In the CNN poll, Republican nominee boosted his numbers on the support of independents.
Before the convention, Trump had the support of 31 percent compared with 34 percent for Clinton, 22 percent for Johnson and 10 percent for Stein.
Now, 43 percent back him while 41 percent were dissuaded after the convention.
Trump increased his overall favorability from 39 percent to 46 percent.
Clinton's favorability is now 32 percent, her worst rating in CNN/ORC polling.
The Republican convention last week featured frequent attacks on Clinton. That didn't go over too well with viewers, with 58 percent saying speakers spent took much time speaking against her. Also, 18 percent called Trump's speech "terrible," the highest since CNN first asked the question in 1996.
But 40 percent called the speech excellent or good and 45 percent said said Trump's speech represented how they feel about things in the United States today. And 48 percent said it did not reflect their views.
A majority of voters (52 percent) say Trump is running for president for the good of the country instead of personal gain. For Clinton, it's 44 percent.
The CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by telephone among a random national sample of 1,001 adults. Results for the sample of 882 registered voters have a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
In the CBS poll, a majority of voters say they have concerns about Trump. On whether he's prepared for the presidency, 38 percent say yes, 38 percent believe he is honest, 34 percent say he has the right temperament and personality to be president. Fifty-six percent continue to see him as a strong leader.
For Clinton, 52 percent says she's prepared for the presidency, 29 percent say she is honest, 50 percent say she has the right temperament and personality to be president and 52 percent see her as a strong leader.
Trump's overall favorability rating is 34 percent, though 66 percent of Republican voters view him favorably. Clinton's overall favorability rating is 31 percent and 65 percent among Democrats.
This poll was conducted by telephone Friday through Sunday among a random sample of 1,363 adults nationwide, including 1,118 registered voters. The margin of error is 4 percent.
Trump has taken a 0.2 lead for polls from July 11-24, according to a RealClear Politics. average of national polls.
[upi.com]
25/7/16
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Trump took a 5 point CNN/ORC lead over Clinton, 44 percent to 39 percent, in a four-way matchup that includes Libertarian Party's Gary Johnson (9 percent) and Green Party's Jill Stein (3 percent). In a two-way race, it's a three-point lead for Trump among registered voters, 48 percent to 45 percent.
The polling was conducted after the Republican National Convention ended Thursday night, from Friday through Sunday.
Trump earned a 6 point convention bounce -- the highest in CNN's polling since 2000 when Al Gore and George W. Bush each increased their numbers by 8 percent after their conventions.
Trump's lead is the largest in a CNN/ORC poll against Clinton since September 2015.
A CBS poll, also released Monday, though, shows a deadlocked race and no post-convention bounce for Trump. In a head-to-head both candidates received 42 percent. On July 16, Trump and Clinton were both at 40 percent. In a three-way race, Trump received 40 percent, 1 point above Clinton, with 12 percent for Johnson.
In the CNN poll, Republican nominee boosted his numbers on the support of independents.
Before the convention, Trump had the support of 31 percent compared with 34 percent for Clinton, 22 percent for Johnson and 10 percent for Stein.
Now, 43 percent back him while 41 percent were dissuaded after the convention.
Trump increased his overall favorability from 39 percent to 46 percent.
Clinton's favorability is now 32 percent, her worst rating in CNN/ORC polling.
The Republican convention last week featured frequent attacks on Clinton. That didn't go over too well with viewers, with 58 percent saying speakers spent took much time speaking against her. Also, 18 percent called Trump's speech "terrible," the highest since CNN first asked the question in 1996.
But 40 percent called the speech excellent or good and 45 percent said said Trump's speech represented how they feel about things in the United States today. And 48 percent said it did not reflect their views.
A majority of voters (52 percent) say Trump is running for president for the good of the country instead of personal gain. For Clinton, it's 44 percent.
The CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by telephone among a random national sample of 1,001 adults. Results for the sample of 882 registered voters have a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
In the CBS poll, a majority of voters say they have concerns about Trump. On whether he's prepared for the presidency, 38 percent say yes, 38 percent believe he is honest, 34 percent say he has the right temperament and personality to be president. Fifty-six percent continue to see him as a strong leader.
For Clinton, 52 percent says she's prepared for the presidency, 29 percent say she is honest, 50 percent say she has the right temperament and personality to be president and 52 percent see her as a strong leader.
Trump's overall favorability rating is 34 percent, though 66 percent of Republican voters view him favorably. Clinton's overall favorability rating is 31 percent and 65 percent among Democrats.
This poll was conducted by telephone Friday through Sunday among a random sample of 1,363 adults nationwide, including 1,118 registered voters. The margin of error is 4 percent.
Trump has taken a 0.2 lead for polls from July 11-24, according to a RealClear Politics. average of national polls.
[upi.com]
25/7/16
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Donald Trump rattrape Hillary Clinton dans deux sondages post-convention...
ReplyDeleteLe candidat républicain à la Maison Blanche Donald Trump a rattrapé voire légèrement dépassé sa rivale démocrate dans deux sondages parus lundi et réalisés à la suite de son investiture officielle par le parti républicain, la semaine dernière.
Ce type de rebond est attendu pour un candidat à l'élection présidentielle qui a été le centre de l'attention médiatique pendant une semaine, mais notable dans le cas de Donald Trump, dont la convention a été perturbée par des incidents et des polémiques, notamment le plagiat relevé dans un discours de son épouse et le camouflet infligé par son rival Ted Cruz. Il recueille 48% des intentions de vote des électeurs inscrits sur les listes électorales contre 45% pour Hillary Clinton, selon une enquête CNN avec 3,5 points de marge d'erreur. Les sondés ont été interrogés de vendredi à dimanche. Jusqu'à présent, la très grande majorité des sondages plaçaient Hillary Clinton en tête de plusieurs points. Un léger rebond est aussi constaté dans l'enquête publiée par la chaîne CBS, qui accorde 42% des intentions de vote à Donald Trump et Hillary Clinton (4 points de marge d'erreur). (Belga)
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